There is a famous saying among veteran floor traders: "There are old traders and there are bold traders, but there are no old, bold traders." You can have the best chart analysis skills in the world, but without **Risk Management**, you are just a gambler waiting for a losing streak to wipe you out.
Technical analysis gives you the entry and exit points, but Risk Management determines **how much** you trade and **how long** you survive. In this final module, we move away from the "Art" of charting and into the "Mathematics" of survival. We will cover the 1% Rule, the Asymmetry of Loss, and the Psychology of the disciplined trader.
1. The 1% Rule: Capital Preservation
Preservation of capital is the first rule of trading. The 1% Rule states that you should never risk more than **1% of your total account balance** on a single trade. If you have ₹1,00,000 in your account, your maximum loss on any trade should be ₹1,000.
Why is this rule so powerful? It protects you from the "Gambler's Ruin." Even if you have a streak of 10 consecutive losses (which happens to everyone), you would still have roughly 90% of your capital left. This allows you to stay in the game long enough for your edge to play out.
2. Position Sizing: The Survival Math
Many beginners think that risking 1% means they only *buy* ₹1,000 worth of shares. This is incorrect. Risks are calculated based on your **Stop Loss (SL)** level.
The Formula:
Quantity = (Capital × Risk %) / (Entry Price - Stop Loss Price)
By using this formula, you ensure that if the stock hits your Stop Loss, you lose exactly the amount you intended, regardless of the stock's price.
3. The Asymmetry of Loss (The Drawdown Trap)
One of the most dangerous mathematical realities in trading is that losses are harder to recover than gains. This is why "cutting losses early" is the most important skill in Technical Analysis.
| Percentage Loss | Gain Needed to Break Even | Mathematical Difficulty |
|---|---|---|
| 10% Loss | 11% Gain | Standard Recovery |
| 25% Loss | 33% Gain | Difficult |
| 50% Loss | 100% Gain | Near Impossible |
| 90% Loss | 900% Gain | Account Ruined |
Notice that if you lose 50% of your money, you don't need a 50% gain to get back—you need a **100% gain** just to reach zero. This is the primary reason why professional traders use Hard Stop Losses on every single trade.
4. The Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R)
To be profitable over time, your average win must be significantly larger than your average loss. Professionals aim for an R:R of at least **1:2 or 1:3**.
If you have an R:R of 1:3, you only need a **30% Win Rate** to be profitable. You could be wrong 7 out of 10 times, and you would still make money. This takes the emotional pressure off having to be "right" every time.
5. Trading Psychology: Managing the Self
Once you have a strategy (TA) and a money management plan (Risk Mgmt), your only remaining enemy is **Yourself**. Human brains are evolved for survival, not for trading. Our natural instincts lead to two fatal errors:
- FOMO (Fear of Missing Out): Entering a trade after the price has already moved because you're afraid you'll miss the profit. This usually results in buying at the peak.
- Revenge Trading: Doubling your position size after a loss to "make the money back quickly." This is the fastest way to blow up an account.
- Loss Aversion: Refusing to hit the Stop Loss because you "believe" the stock will come back. In trading, "hope" is not a strategy.
6. The Trading Journal: Your Personal Mentor
The only way to improve as a technical trader is to record every trade. A professional journal should include:
- Why did I enter? (Pattern, Indicator, Trend).
- Where was my SL and Target?
- Did I follow my rules or did I trade based on emotion?
- What was the final outcome?
After 50 trades, your journal will reveal patterns in your behavior that no book can teach you.
Final Summary of Module 6
- Never risk more than **1% of capital** per trade.
- Calculate **Quantity** based on your Stop Loss, not your gut feeling.
- Understand the **Asymmetry of Loss**; protecting downside is easier than chasing upside.
- Maintain a minimum **1:2 Risk-Reward** ratio.
- Keep a **Trading Journal** to remove emotions from the process.